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Offra

03 — What competition is worth

More bidders goes with prices under the estimate

When a single bidder answers a construction call, the contract exceeds the buyer's estimate in 57% of cases. With six bidders or more, in 20%. The median contract goes from 105% to 83% of the estimate.

The same slope holds in services and goods. It is an association, not a demonstrated cause: a call that draws a single bidder may also be harder, more urgent or poorly estimated.

Share of contracts above the estimate, by number of bidders
Construction
57%
44%
34%
30%
31%
20%
1
2
3
4
5
6+
Services
34%
26%
24%
19%
18%
17%
1
2
3
4
5
6+
Goods
38%
29%
27%
19%
19%
12%
1
2
3
4
5
6+
See the data
Category · biddersContractsMedian contract / estimateAbove the estimate
Goods · 179295%38%
Goods · 288788%29%
Goods · 360686%27%
Goods · 435177%19%
Goods · 517576%19%
Goods · 6+24574%12%
Services · 168391%34%
Services · 298481%26%
Services · 381279%24%
Services · 455175%19%
Services · 541173%18%
Services · 6+91377%17%
Construction · 1449105%57%
Construction · 294997%44%
Construction · 31,16590%34%
Construction · 496589%30%
Construction · 577587%31%
Construction · 6+1,57983%20%

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